What about a counter off the famous double-pass look? It’s been a full month since their last non-quarterback pass, and almost three since Jakobi Meyers tossed one. Undermanned at receiver, the Pats will need to manufacture points and long passing plays, especially having thrown more interceptions than touchdowns against Buffalo since head coach Sean McDermott took over in 2017. High draft picks are scattered across the front seven, and arguably the NFL’s best safety tandem, Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer, anchor an opportunistic secondary. The Bills defense is solid across the board, a top-10 unit against the run and pass. If either cover Henry in a key spot, the ball should find him. Henry is a mismatch against linebackers Tremaine Edmunds and Matt Milano. The same goes for Hunter Henry, the team’s most targeted pass catcher in the red zone. Smith was once a man-coverage destroyer in Tennessee, and while he hasn’t broken tackles at the same rate this season, the Pats should still effort to create one-on-one opportunities for him in space. Their pass coverage is weakest - albeit still above-average relative to the rest of the league - against tight ends, per Football Outsiders’ DVOA. Smith, who’s largely underwhelmed this season despite being utilized as a receiver and rusher, should be featured heavily against the Bills. If there was ever a time to unlock Jonnu Smith, Sunday is it.
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